04 · The method
04 · The method
The edge, the method, the markets.
Three long-form pages. Four market deep-dives. Three live data products. Every number traces to a primary source.
- The edge
Why the regulated cohort reaches exit 2.22x as often.
Observed exit incidence and the round-size uplift from seed to Series D+. The empirical pattern behind the thesis.
Open the edge → - Methodology
How the universe is classified.
The T1 licence-as-barrier and T2 compulsion-as-barrier screen, the source registers it reads, and the limits of the method.
Open the method → - References
Every cited source, every dataset.
The bibliography. Public datasets and primary-source references behind every number on the site.
Open the page →
- Index
The Necessity Index.
19,416 four-market companies against the T1 / T2 Necessities. Cross-referenced against 174 four-market regulations.
Open the product → - Calendar
The Crystallisation Window.
Thirty-four in-flight regulations across the four markets, dated 2024 to 2030. Peak 2027.
Open the product → - Scoreboard
Five falsifiable predictions.
Five Structural Certainties. Five testable predictions on the dataset. The window is open.
Open the product →